National Cancer Institute National Cancer Institute
U.S. National Institutes of Health National Cancer Institute
NCI Home Cancer Topics Clinical Trials Cancer Statistics Research & Funding News About NCI
Genetics of Breast and Ovarian Cancer (PDQ®)
Health Professional VersionLast Modified: 06/19/2008



Purpose of This PDQ Summary






Introduction







Major Genes






Low Penetrance Predisposition to Breast and Ovarian Cancer






Interventions






Psychosocial Issues in Inherited Breast Cancer Syndromes






Get More Information From NCI






Changes to This Summary (06/19/2008)






More Information



Page Options
Print This Page  Print This Page
Print This Document  Print Entire Document
View Entire Document  View Entire Document
E-Mail This Document  E-Mail This Document
Quick Links
Director's Corner

Dictionary of Cancer Terms

NCI Drug Dictionary

Funding Opportunities

NCI Publications

Advisory Boards and Groups

Science Serving People

Español
NCI Highlights
New Study of Targeted Therapies for Breast Cancer

The Nation's Investment in Cancer Research FY 2009

Cancer Trends Progress Report: 2007 Update

Past Highlights
You CAN Quit Smoking Now!
Major Genes

Introduction
BRCA1
BRCA2
BRCA1 and BRCA2 Function
Mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2
        Variants of uncertain significance
Prevalence and Founder Effects
Penetrance of Mutations
Population Estimates of the Likelihood of Having a BRCA1 or BRCA2 Mutation
Models for Prediction of the Likelihood of a BRCA1 or BRCA2 Mutation
Role of BRCA1 and BRCA2 in Sporadic Cancer
Genotype-Phenotype Correlations
Pathology/Prognosis of Breast Cancer
        BRCA1
        BRCA2
Pathology/Prognosis of Ovarian Cancer
        Pathology
        Prognosis
Other Rare Breast and Ovarian Cancer Associated Syndromes
        Li-Fraumeni syndrome
        Cowden syndrome
        Peutz-Jeghers syndrome



Introduction

Epidemiologic studies have clearly established the role of family history as an important risk factor for both breast and ovarian cancer. After gender and age, a positive family history is the strongest known predictive risk factor for breast cancer. In most cases an extensive family history (more than four relatives in the same biologic line affected) is not present. However, it has long been recognized that in some families, there is hereditary breast cancer which is characterized by an early age of onset, bilaterality, and the presence of breast cancer in multiple generations through either the maternal or paternal lines in an apparent autosomal dominant pattern of transmission and familial association with tumors of other organs, particularly the ovary and prostate gland.[1,2] We now know that some of these “cancer families” can be explained by specific mutations in single cancer susceptibility genes. The isolation of several of these genes, which when mutated are associated with a significantly increased risk of breast/ovarian cancer, makes it possible to identify individuals at risk. Although such cancer susceptibility genes are very important, only 5% to10% of individuals who develop breast cancer are known to carry highly penetrant gene mutations.

A 1988 study reported the first quantitative evidence that breast cancer segregated as an autosomal dominant trait in some families.[3] The search for genes associated with hereditary susceptibility to breast cancer has been facilitated by the study of large kindreds with multiple affected individuals, and has led to the identification of several susceptibility genes, including BRCA1, BRCA2, TP53, PTEN/MMAC1, and STK11. Other genes, such as the mismatch repair genes MLH1 and MSH2, have been associated with an increased risk of ovarian cancer, but have not been consistently associated with breast cancer.

BRCA1

In 1990, a susceptibility gene for breast cancer was mapped by genetic linkage to the long arm of chromosome 17, in the interval 17q12-21.[4] The linkage between breast cancer and genetic markers on chromosome 17q was soon confirmed by others, and evidence for the coincident transmission of both breast and ovarian cancer susceptibility in linked families was observed.[5] The BRCA1 gene (OMIM) was subsequently identified by positional cloning methods, and has been found to contain 24 exons that encode a protein of 1,863 amino acids. Mutations in BRCA1 are associated with early-onset breast cancer, ovarian cancer, and fallopian tube cancer. (Refer to the Penetrance section for more information.) Male breast cancer, pancreatic cancer, testicular cancer, and early-onset prostate cancer may also be associated with mutations in BRCA1;[6-9] however, male breast cancer, pancreatic cancer, and prostate cancer are more strongly associated with mutations in BRCA2.

BRCA2

A second breast cancer susceptibility gene, BRCA2, was localized to the long arm of chromosome 13 through linkage studies of 15 families with multiple cases of breast cancer that were not linked to BRCA1. Mutations in BRCA2 (OMIM) are associated with multiple cases of breast cancer in families, and are also associated with male breast cancer, ovarian cancer, prostate cancer, melanoma, and pancreatic cancer.[8-13] (Refer to the Penetrance section for more information.) BRCA2 is also a large gene with 27 exons that encode a protein of 3,418 amino acids.[14] While not homologous genes, both BRCA1 and BRCA2 have an unusually large exon 11 and translational start sites in exon 2. Like BRCA1, BRCA2 appears to behave like a tumor suppressor gene. In tumors associated with both BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations there is often loss of the wild-type (unmutated) allele.

Mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 appear to be responsible for disease in 45% of families with multiple cases of breast cancer only, and in up to 90% of families with both breast and ovarian cancer.[15]

BRCA1 and BRCA2 Function

Most BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations are predicted to produce a truncated protein product, and thus loss of protein function, although some missense mutations cause loss of function without truncation. Because inherited breast/ovarian cancer is an autosomal dominant condition, persons with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation on one copy of chromosome 17 or 13 also carry a normal allele on the other paired chromosome. In most breast and ovarian cancers that have been studied from mutation carriers, however, the normal allele is deleted, resulting in loss of all function. This finding strongly suggests that BRCA1 and BRCA2 are in the class of tumor suppressor genes, i.e., genes whose loss of function can result in neoplastic growth.[16,17]

In addition to, and as part of, their roles as tumor suppressor genes, BRCA1 and BRCA2 are involved in a myriad of functions within cells including homologous DNA repair, genomic stability, transcriptional regulation and cell cycle control.[18,19]

Mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2

Nearly 2,000 distinct mutations and sequence variations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 have already been described.[20] The mutations that have been associated with increased risk of cancer result in missing or nonfunctional proteins, supporting the hypothesis that BRCA1 and BRCA2 are tumor suppressor genes. While a small number of these mutations have been found repeatedly in unrelated families, most have not been reported in more than a few families.

Mutation screening methods vary in their sensitivity. Methods widely used in research laboratories, such as single-stranded conformational polymorphism (SSCP) analysis and conformation-sensitive gel electrophoresis (CSGE), miss nearly a third of the mutations that are detected by DNA sequencing.[21] In addition, large genomic rearrangements are missed by most of the techniques, including direct DNA sequencing. Such rearrangements are believed to be responsible for 10% to 15% of BRCA1 inactivating mutations.[22-24]

Variants of uncertain significance

Germline deleterious mutations in the BRCA1/BRCA2 genes are associated with an approximately 60% lifetime risk of breast cancer and a 15% to 40% lifetime risk of ovarian cancer. There are no definitive functional tests for BRCA1 or BRCA2; therefore, classifying deleterious nucleotide changes to predict their functional impact relies on imperfect data. The majority of accepted deleterious mutations result in protein truncation and/or loss of important functional domains. However, 10% to 15% of all individuals undergoing genetic testing with full sequencing of BRCA1 and BRCA2 will not have a clearly deleterious mutation detected but will have a variant of uncertain (or unknown) significance (VUS). Variants of uncertain significance may cause substantial problems in counseling, particularly in terms of cancer risk estimates and risk management. Clinical management of such patients needs to be highly individualized and must take into consideration factors such as the patient’s personal and family cancer history, as well as the likelihood that the VUS is significant.

African Americans appear to have a higher rate of VUS.[25] A comprehensive analysis examined the results of 7,461 consecutive full gene sequence analyses performed by Myriad Genetic Laboratory over a 3-year period.[26] Among subjects who had no clearly deleterious mutation, 13% had VUS defined as “ missense mutations and mutations that occur in analyzed intronic regions whose clinical significance has not yet been determined, chain-terminating mutations that truncate BRCA1 and BRCA2 distal to amino acid positions 1853 and 3308, respectively, and mutations that eliminate the normal stop codons for these proteins.” The classification of a sequence variant as a VUS is a moving target. An additional 6.8% of individuals had sequence alterations that were once considered VUS, but were reclassified, usually as a polymorphism though occasionally as a deleterious mutation. As additional information is accumulated, VUS are reclassified and such information may impact the continuing care of affected individuals.

A number of methods for discriminating deleterious from neutral VUS exist and others are in development.[27,28] Interpretation of VUS is greatly aided by efforts to track VUS in the family to determine if there is cosegregation of the VUS with the cancer in the family. Variant tracking is accomplished by testing parents and all affected family members (these costs are generally covered by Myriad Genetic Laboratory). The Myriad Genetic Laboratory typically provides additional information when a VUS is reported, including available data on cosegregation and whether the VUS has been seen in conjunction with a known deleterious mutation. In general, a VUS observed in subjects who also have a deleterious mutation, especially when it occurs with different mutations, is not felt to be in itself deleterious, although there are rare exceptions. Models based on sequence conservation and the biochemical properties of amino acid changes exist [27,29-32] and are an adjunct to the clinical information. An attempt at further refining such models has also incorporated information on pathologic characteristics of BRCA1- and BRCA2- related tumors (such as the fact that BRCA1-related breast cancers are usually estrogen receptor negative).[33] Functional studies that measure the influence of specific sequence variations on the activity of BRCA1 or BRCA2 have been employed as well.[34,35] When attempting to interpret a VUS, all available information should be examined.

Prevalence and Founder Effects

Approximately 1 in 800 individuals in the general population may carry a pathogenic mutation in BRCA1. The frequency of carriers in selected groups has been measured. Among cases identified from the Cancer Surveillance System of Western Washington, the frequency of BRCA1 mutations was highest in cases diagnosed before age 30 years (23% carriers, 95% confidence interval (CI), 5.0-53.8), and in those with more than three relatives with breast cancer (20%, 95% CI, 6%-44%). A family history of ovarian cancer in a first-degree relative was also associated with an increased prevalence of BRCA1 mutations (25%, 95% CI, 3.2%-65.1%).[36] In a second study, 263 women with familial breast cancer were analyzed.[37] BRCA1 mutations were found in 7% (95% CI, 0.3%-39%) of families with site-specific breast cancer, 18% of families with bilateral breast cancer, and 40% (95% CI, 1.7%-80.0%) of families with both breast and ovarian cancer. In a population-based series of incident cases of ovarian cancer in Canada, the overall prevalence of BRCA1/2 mutations was 11.7%; among women with a first-degree relative with breast or ovarian cancer, it was 19%. Of note, 6.5% of women with no affected first-degree relative carried a mutation, suggesting a higher overall prevalence of mutations in women with a diagnosis of ovarian cancer than in those with breast cancer.[38-40]

In some cases the same mutation has been found in multiple apparently unrelated families. This observation is consistent with a founder effect. This occurs when a contemporary population can be traced back to a small, isolated group of founders. Most notably, two specific BRCA1 mutations (185delAG and 5382insC) and a BRCA2 mutation (6174delT) have been reported to be common in Ashkenazi Jews (those tracing their roots to Central and Eastern Europe). Carrier frequencies for these mutations have been determined in the general Jewish population: 0.9% (95% CI, 0.7%-1.1%) for the 185delAG mutation, 0.3% (95% CI, 0.2%-0.4%) for the 5382insC mutation, and 1.3% (95% CI, 1.0%-1.5%) for the BRCA2 6174delT mutation.[41-44] Altogether, the frequency of these three mutations approximates 1 in 40 among Ashkenazi Jews; they account for 25% of early-onset breast cancer, and up to 90% of families with multiple cases of both breast and ovarian cancer in this population.[45,46] Additional founder mutations have been described in multiple non–Ashkenazi Jewish populations including the Netherlands (BRCA1 2804delAA and several large deletion mutations), Iceland (BRCA2, 999del5), Portugal (BRCA2, exon 3 Alu insertion),[47] and Sweden (BRCA1, 3171ins5).[48-51]

The presence of these founder mutations has practical implications for genetic testing. Many laboratories offer directed testing specifically for ethnic-specific alleles. This greatly simplifies the technical aspects of the test but is not without pitfalls. It is estimated that up to 15% of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations that occur among Ashkenazim are nonfounder mutations.[26]

Penetrance of Mutations

The proportion of individuals carrying a mutation who will manifest the disease is referred to as penetrance. For adult-onset diseases, penetrance is usually dependent upon the individual carrier's age and sex. For example, the penetrance for breast cancer in female BRCA1/2 mutation carriers is often quoted by age 50 years (generally premenopausal) and by age 70 years. Of the numerous methods for estimating penetrance, none are without potential biases, and determining an individual mutation carrier's risk of cancer involves some level of imprecision.

Estimates of penetrance by age 70 years for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations show a large range, from 14% to 87% for breast cancer and 10% to 68% for ovarian cancer.[12,15,38,40,43,52-67] Initial penetrance estimates for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations were derived from multiple-case families from the Breast Cancer Linkage Consortium (BCLC), families studied to localize and clone the genes.[15,52,53] For breast cancer, the estimates ranged from 50% to 73% by age 50 years and 65% to 87% by age 70 years for BRCA1, and 59% and 82% at ages 50 years and 70 years, respectively, for BRCA2. For ovarian cancer, the estimates were as high as 29% by age 50 years and 63% by age 70 years.[52,53] For many patients currently seeking genetic testing for BRCA1 and BRCA2, the family history will not be as strong as this study by the BCLC (e.g., more than four affected relatives in the same biologic lineage) and therefore, these estimates may not apply.

There are now several lines of evidence indicating that primary fallopian tube cancer should be considered a part of the BRCA1/2 phenotype. Epidemiologic evidence points to an increased risk of early-onset breast and/or ovarian cancer among first-degree relatives of women with fallopian tube cancers.[68] Histopathologic examination of fallopian tubes removed prophylactically from women with a hereditary predisposition to ovarian cancer show dysplastic and hyperplastic lesions that are accompanied by changes in cell-cycle and apoptosis-related proteins, suggesting a premalignant phenotype.[69,70] A retrospective review of 29 Ashkenazi Jewish patients with primary fallopian tube tumors identified germline BRCA mutations in 17%.[71] While the true incidence of fallopian tube tumors in BRCA carriers is not known, there is a growing consensus that risk-reducing oophorectomy should be accompanied by removal of the fallopian tubes.

In addition to the estimates from multiple-case families and patients from high-risk genetics clinics,[12,15,52,53,55,60,66,72] at least 13 studies have estimated penetrance by studying the families of mutation carriers who were not specifically recruited and studied because of a positive family history.[38,40,43,56-65] Often these studies have concentrated on founder populations in which testing of larger, more population-based subjects are possible owing to a reduced number of mutations that require testing,[43,54,56,58,61,62,64] compared with complete sequencing of the two genes required in most populations. The first study of a community-based series was carried out in the Washington, D.C., area. Blood samples and family medical histories were collected from more than 5,000 Ashkenazi Jewish individuals.[43] Study participants were tested for three founder mutations: 185delAG and 5382insC in BRCA1, and 6174delT in BRCA2. The prevalence of breast cancer in the relatives of carriers was compared with that reported by mutation-negative individuals. The risk of breast cancer in carriers of these mutations was estimated to be 56% (95% CI, 40%-73%) by age 70 years. Ovarian cancer risk was estimated to be 16% (95% CI, 6%-28%). These values were lower than most prior risk estimates. Men carrying BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations were at modestly increased risk of prostate cancer, reaching 16% by age 70 years. Subsequent studies have provided additional support for an approximately twofold increased risk of prostate cancer in BRCA2 mutation carriers.[58,73,74].

Many subsequent studies, whether in founder or predominantly outbred populations, have estimated breast cancer risks by age 70 years of approximately 60% or lower and ovarian cancer risks of approximately 40% or lower, though often with large confidence limits because, even in studies of founder populations, the number of identified mutation carriers is relatively small. A meta-analysis of ten studies estimates risks among BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers of 57% and 49% for breast cancer and 40% and 18% for ovarian cancer.[75] Most studies have done molecular testing on the proband only and have done no,[38,43,54,56,58-62,64,65] or limited,[57,66] testing among relatives. Instead, the mutation status of relatives is modeled on simple Mendelian principles that on average, one-half of first-degree relatives of mutation carriers will themselves be carriers. Such modeling may lead to imprecision in the penetrance estimates; by chance, more than or less than half the relatives of some families will be carriers. In the New York Breast Cancer Study of 104 mutation-positive Ashkenazi Jews with breast cancer, penetrance estimates were based only on relatives whose mutation status was known.[40] These estimates were 69% and 74% for breast cancer by age 70 years for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers, respectively, and 46% and 12% for ovarian cancer for BRCA1 and BRCA2, respectively.

The largest study to date to estimate penetrance involved a pooled analysis of 22 studies of over 8,000 breast and ovarian cancer cases unselected for family history.[65] Subjects were from 12 different countries and had a broad spectrum of mutations. Using modified segregation analysis on the families of the nearly 500 cases found to carry a BRCA1/2 mutation, the cumulative risk of breast cancer by age 70 years was 65% (95% CI, 44%-78%) for BRCA1 and 45% (95% CI, 31%-56%) for BRCA2. The penetrances for cancer are somewhat higher for BRCA1 mutation carriers, especially for ovarian cancer and early-onset breast cancer. These estimates are average risks of cancer among mutation carriers, assuming there is at least one family member with breast cancer or ovarian cancer (since all probands had these cancers), the situation likely to be encountered in clinical genetics situations. A case series of 491 women with stage I or stage II breast cancer and a known or suspected deleterious BRCA1/2 mutation was reviewed for incidence of ovarian cancer. The actuarial risk of developing ovarian cancer at 10 years following diagnosis of breast cancer was 12.7% for BRCA1 mutation carriers and 6.8% for BRCA2 mutation carriers. Eight of 83 cancer deaths (9.6%) in this series were because of ovarian cancer. Systemic treatment for the primary breast cancer did not alter these findings.[76] Several studies have suggested that cancer risks in BRCA1/BRCA2 mutation carriers are affected by the type of cancer of the index case. Relatives of breast cancer index cases were more likely to develop breast cancer, and relatives of ovarian cancer index cases were more likely to develop ovarian cancer.[65,77-79] Risk of breast cancer appears increased in more recent birth cohorts.[40,77]

The continuing uncertainty as to the exact penetrance for breast and ovarian cancer among BRCA1/2 mutation carriers may be due to several factors, including differences owing to study design, allelic heterogeneity (differing risks for different mutations within either of the genes), and to modifying genetic and/or environmental factors, such as differing rates of oophorectomy.[40,65,80-83] While the average breast and ovarian cancer penetrances may not be as high as initially estimated, they are substantial, both in relative and absolute terms, and additional studies will be required to further characterize potential modifying factors in order to arrive at more precise individual risk projections. Precise penetrance estimates for less common cancers, such as pancreatic cancer, are lacking.

The tables titled “ Studies of Cancer Penetrance Among BRCA1 and BRCA2 Mutation Carriers: Cumulative Incidence of Breast Cancer ” and “ Studies of Cancer Penetrance Among BRCA1 and BRCA2 Mutation Carriers: Cumulative Incidence of Ovarian Cancer ” review the incidence of breast and ovarian cancer among BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers.

Table 2. Studies of Cancer Penetrance Among BRCA1 and BRCA2 Mutation Carriers: Cumulative Incidence of Breast Cancer
  Cumulative Incidence of Breast Cancer to Given Age 
BRCA1 BRCA2 BRCA1/2
Population 50 yr 70 yr 50 yr 70 yr 50 yr 70 yr
Linkage analysis-maximization of logarithm of the odd (LOD) score
—214 breast-ovary families (BCLC) [15] 59% 82%
BRCA1-linked families (BCLC) [53] 51% 85%
—237 breast and breast-ovarian cancer families (BCLC) [55] 49% 71% 28% 84%
Incidence of second cancers after breast cancer
—33 BRCA1-linked families (BCLC) [52] 73% 87%
—BRCA1-linked families (BCLC) [53] 50% 65%
Analysis of family members
—Jewish ovarian cancer cases, 7 BRCA1, 3 BRCA2 [54] 30%# 50%# 16%# 23%#
—Jewish breast-ovary families, 16 BRCA1, 9 BRCA2 [54] 37%# 64%# 18%# 49%#
Kin cohort using family and cancer registries
—Unselected Icelandic breast cancer patients, 56 female and 13 male BRCA2 995del5 [56] 17% 37%
Second or contralateral cancer incidence; focus was on nonbreast and ovary outcomes
—173 breast-ovarian cancer families either BRCA2-positive or BRCA2-linked (BCLC) [12] 37% 52%
Modified segregation analysis - all available relatives tested (MENDEL)
—Australian population-based breast cancer age <40 years, 9 BRCA1, 9 BRCA2 [57] 10% 40%
Kin cohort
—Community-based Washington, D.C. area Jews, 61 BRCA1, 59 BRCA2 [43] 38% 59% 26% 51% 33% 56%
—Jewish women with breast cancer, 34 BRCA1, 15 BRCA2 [58] 60% 28%
—Jewish women with ovarian cancer, 44 BRCA1, 24 BRCA2 [61] 31%* 44%& 6%* 37%&
—Unselected cases ovarian cancer, 39 BRCA1, 21 BRCA2 [38] 68%@ 14%@
Modified segregation analysis (MENDEL)
—Breast cancer cases age <55 years, 8 BRCA1, 16 BRCA2 [59] 32% 47% 18% 56% 21% 54%
—Families with 2+ cases ovarian cancer, 40 BRCA1, 11 BRCA2 [60] 39% 72% 19% 71%
—Unselected cases ovarian cancer, 12 BRCA1 [60] 34% 50%
—164 BRCA2-positive families from BCLC [63] 41%
—Unselected cases ovarian or breast cancer from 22 studies, 289 BRCA1, 221 BRCA2 [65] 38% 65% 15% 45%
—Australian multiple-case families, 28 BRCA1, 23 BRCA2 [66] 48% 74%
Relative risk times population rates
—Jewish hospital-based ovarian cancer patients, 103 BRCA1, 44 BRCA2 founder mutations [62] 18% 59% 6% 38%
Direct Kaplan-Meier estimates restricted to relatives known to be mutation positive
—Unselected Jewish breast cancer patients from NY, 67 BRCA1, 37 BRCA2 [40] 39% 69% 34% 74%
Mendelian retrospective likelihood approach
—U.S.-based through the Cancer Genetics Network, most counseling clinic-based, although smaller number population-based, 238 BRCA1, 143 BRCA2 [67] 46% 43%

# - Outcome is breast OR ovarian cancer
* - Incidence to age 55 years
& - Incidence to age 75 years
@ - Incidence to age 80 years

Table 3. Studies of Cancer Penetrance Among BRCA1 and BRCA2 Mutation Carriers: Cumulative Incidence of Ovarian Cancer
  Cumulative Incidence of Ovarian Cancer to Given Age  
BRCA1 BRCA2 BRCA1/2
Population 50 yr 70 yr 50 yr 70 yr 50 yr 70 yr
Incidence of second cancers after breast cancer
—33 BRCA1-linked families (BCLC) [52] 29% 44%
—BRCA1-linked families (BCLC) [53] 29% 44%
Linkage analysis - maximization of LOD score
—BRCA1-linked families (BCLC) [53] 23% 63%
—237 breast and breast-ovarian cancer families (BCLC) [55] 0% 27%
Kin cohort
—Community-based Washington, D.C. area Jews, 61 BRCA1, 59 BRCA2 [43] 8% 16% 5% 18% 7% 16%
—Unselected cases ovarian cancer, 39 BRCA1, 21 BRCA2 [38] 36%@ 10%@
Second or contralateral cancer incidence; focus was on nonbreast and ovary outcomes
—173 breast-ovarian cancer families either BRCA2-positive or BRCA2-linked (BCLC) [12] 3% 16%
Modified segregation analysis (MENDEL)
—Breast cancer cases age <55 years, 8 BRCA1, 16 BRCA2 [59] 11% 36% 3% 10% 4% 16%
—Families with 2+ cases ovarian cancer, 40 BRCA1, 11 BRCA2 [60] 17% 53% 1% 31%
—Unselected cases ovarian cancer, 12 BRCA1 [60] 21% 68%
—164 BRCA2-positive families from BCLC [63] 14%
—Unselected cases ovarian or breast cancer from 22 studies, 289 BRCA1, 221 BRCA2 [65] 13% 39% 1% 11%
Relative risk times population rates
—Jewish women with ovarian cancer, 44 BRCA1, 24 BRCA2 [61] >40%& 20%&
—Unselected cases ovarian or breast cancer from 22 studies, 289 BRCA1, 221 BRCA2 [64] 11% 37% 3% 21%
Direct Kaplan-Meier estimates restricted to relatives known to be mutation positive
—Unselected Jewish breast cancer patients from NY, 67 BRCA1, 37 BRCA2 [40] 21% 46% 2% 12%
Mendelian retrospective likelihood approach
—U.S.-based through the Cancer Genetics Network, most counseling clinic-based, although smaller number population-based, 238 BRCA1, 143 BRCA2 [67] 40% 22%

& - Incidence to age 75 years
@ - Incidence to age 80 years

There is conflicting evidence as to the residual familial risk among women who themselves test negative for the BRCA1/BRCA2 mutation segregating in their family. Based on prospective evaluation of 353 women who tested negative for the BRCA1 mutation segregating in the family, five incident breast cancers occurred during more than 6,000 person-years of observation, for a lifetime risk of 6.8%.[83] A report that the risk may be as high as fivefold in women who have tested negative for the BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation in the family[84] was followed by numerous letters suggesting that ascertainment biases account for much of this observed excess risk.[85-88] Two additional analyses have suggested an approximately twofold excess risk.[89,90] All studies have been based on small observed numbers of cases and most have involved retrospective analyses. Additional prospective analyses will be required to determine whether women from BRCA1/BRCA2 families who test negative in families are at the general population risk for breast cancer.[91] No information has been published regarding ovarian cancer risk in this setting.

Population Estimates of the Likelihood of Having a BRCA1 or BRCA2 Mutation

Statistics regarding the percentage of women found to be BRCA mutation carriers among samples of women and men with a variety of personal cancer histories regardless of family history are provided below. These data can help determine who might best benefit from a referral for cancer genetic counseling and consideration of genetic testing, but cannot replace a personalized risk assessment, which might indicate a higher or lower mutation likelihood based on family history characteristics.

Among non-Ashkenazi Jewish individuals (likelihood of having any BRCA mutation):

  • General non-Ashkenazi Jewish population: 1 in 500 (.2%).[92]
  • Women with breast cancer (all ages): 1 in 50 (2%).[93]
  • Women with breast cancer (younger than 40 years): 1 in 11 (9%).[94]
  • Men with breast cancer (regardless of age): 1 in 20 (5%).[95]
  • Women with ovarian cancer (all ages): 1 in 10 (10%).[38,96]

Among Ashkenazi Jewish individuals (likelihood of having one of three founder mutations):

  • General Ashkenazi Jewish population: 1 in 40 (2.5%).[43]